Oliver Patel, Research Associate at UCL European Institute, outlines Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy, noting that there is a huge amount of uncertainty regarding the nature of the future relationship he seeks. The tight timeframe also means that the next crisis could be on extending the transition period. Getting Brexit done? Boris Johnson’s mantra for the 2019 election has been that a vote for the Conservatives … Continue reading Boris Johnson’s Brexit policy explained
Oliver Patel, Research Associate at the UCL European Institute, outlines the legal and practical steps which need to be taken to stop Brexit. He argues that it is possible, but a highly uncertain prospect, noting that there would need to be majority in parliament for a second referendum, as well as a decisive shift in public opinion. Stopping Brexit is possible, but it’s complicated. I’m … Continue reading Brexit: is it possible to stop it?
In a report published last week, Oliver Patel assesses the EU’s institutional and strategic approach to the Brexit negotiations, and considers what the EU wants from the process. Here, he summarises the core points of the paper and outlines how the UK has been outflanked by the EU’s negotiating tactics thus far. October’s European Council summit represented ‘more of the same’ for the Brexit process. Although EU leaders … Continue reading The EU’s negotiating strategy has worked so far, but it’s playing a risky game
Last week’s rejection of May’s Chequers plan was widely viewed as rendering ‘no deal’ more likely, but that’s not necessarily the case, argues Oliver Patel, Research Associate at the UCL European Institute. Theresa May’s Chequers plan was emphatically rejected by the EU last week. This was predictable, given that it violates the EU’s principal red line: preserving the integrity of the single market. May’s response … Continue reading Although fraught with obstacles, a Brexit Deal is still on the cards
In a report published this week Piet Eeckhout and Oliver Patel assess the options for a Brexit transitional arrangement. They argue that the most realistic option is for the full body of EU law to continue to apply in the UK, while the UK simultaneously ceases to be an EU member state. The report’s conclusions are summarised here. They may not see eye to eye … Continue reading Prolonging the acquis: a blueprint for the Brexit transition