A country of purists: the polling which lays bare the death of any compromise on Brexit

In a piece for politics.co.uk, Christina Pagel and Christabel Cooper analyse new polling data to show that a large majority of voters are now Brexit ‘purists’, who support either Remain or No-Deal and won’t have it any other way. And that could mean big trouble for the two main parties. The recent European elections were a disaster for both main parties, with voters defecting en … Continue reading A country of purists: the polling which lays bare the death of any compromise on Brexit

EU elections voting system explained: D’Hondt worry

Christina Pagel gives us a timely and illustrated explainer on the D’Hondt system for the European elections, with tips on how to maximise the impact of your vote. The UK will be taking part in the EU elections next week, and unlike our usual “First past the post” voting system, seats in the EU parliament will be allocated using a form of proportional representation called the … Continue reading EU elections voting system explained: D’Hondt worry

The European Parliament elections: seven things you need to know

Nominations for election to the European Parliament closed on April 25th. We now know which parties will be contesting the elections (if they happen), and who those parties have selected to stand for them in each region of the UK. UCL Constitution Unit’s Alan Renwick offers a brief guide to how the elections will work and what we can expect to learn from them. With … Continue reading The European Parliament elections: seven things you need to know

A General Election is looking more likely – what are the implications for the two main parties?

Christina Pagel and Christabel Cooper analyse the results of a UCL survey (with fieldwork conducted by YouGov), which was generously funded by UCL Mathematics, UCL CORU and UCL’s Grand Challenge of Cultural Understanding. The data shows that as the preferred Brexit outcomes of Labour and Conservative voters harden, both parties stand to suffer in any imminent General Election. (See also the first post of this series of analysis and the results) … Continue reading A General Election is looking more likely – what are the implications for the two main parties?

From Cautious Member to Bold Leader? The Netherlands in the EU after Brexit

The UK’s decision to leave the EU has caused concern in Europe about further defections, but Lisa ten Brinke, Research Associate at the Dahrendorf Forum, argues Brexit has had the opposite effect—at least in the Netherlands. The causes and consequences of Brexit have been analysed from many angles—from the EU’s internal struggles to the rise of populism and the end of Western hegemony. Less attention has been paid, however, to … Continue reading From Cautious Member to Bold Leader? The Netherlands in the EU after Brexit